With reference to the El Nino forecast by the World Meteorological Organization, consider the following statements: 1. The forecast is based on reports from 13 meteorological centres. 2. The phenomenon is expected to be one of the strongest since 1980. 3. The sea surface temperature is forecast to reach 3.7°C above normal during the October-November-December 2026 period. Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

El Nino to intensify before December, potentially becoming one of strongest since 1950

GS2Polity · Governance · IR· Policies of other countries affecting India· Prelims· 8 October 2026

Climate variability and its impact on global food security: a GS3 and Geography case study.

Why in news

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced that El Nino is expected to intensify before peaking in December 2026, potentially becoming one of the strongest since 1950.

Background

The WMO, led by Chief Celeste Saulo, reported that sea surface temperatures are forecast to reach a record 3.7°C above normal during the October-November-December 2026 period. This data is based on reports from 13 meteorological centres.

Facts for Prelims

BodyWMO: World Meteorological Organization
FactForecasted sea surface temperature: 3.7°C above normal for Oct-Nov-Dec 2026

Prelims practice question

With reference to the El Nino forecast by the World Meteorological Organization, consider the following statements:

The forecast is based on reports from 13 meteorological centres.
The phenomenon is expected to be one of the strongest since 1980.
The sea surface temperature is forecast to reach 3.7°C above normal during the October-November-December 2026 period.

Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

(a)1 only
(b)1 and 3 only
(c)2 and 3 only
(d)1, 2 and 3

Show answer

Answer: (b) 1 and 3 only — Statements 1 and 3 are correct. Statement 2 is incorrect: The note states it could be one of the strongest since 1950.

For Mains

Q. Discuss how extreme climatic phenomena like El Nino exacerbate the impacts of anthropogenic climate change on global food security and disaster management.

Dimensions to cover in your answer

Climate-disaster nexus: Compounding effect of natural oscillations and man-made global warming on extreme weather
Agricultural vulnerability: Risk of simultaneous droughts and floods affecting global crop yields and supply chains

Keywords: Climate Change · El Nino · Meteorological Phenomena · Global Warming · Disaster Management

Read the full news →Report a mistake in this note How notes are made Source: NDTV ↗Also: GS1 · Geophysical phenomena (earthquakes, cyclones, volcanoes)Also: GS3 · Climate change & international agreements

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