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VOL. I · EST. 11.2025 
SatyaDheesh
सत्याधीश
India's Ground Truth Record
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Warming El Nino set to return in mid-2026: UN

GS3Economy · S&T · Environment · Security· Nuclear & new energy technology· Prelims·

Why in news

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) predicted a strong El Nino event starting as early as May 2026, warning of potential global temperature increases.

Background

The WMO predicts El Nino conditions between May and July 2026. The organization clarified that while climate change does not increase the frequency or intensity of El Nino, it can amplify its associated impacts.

Facts for Prelims

  • S&TEl Nino: Characterized by rising sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific.
  • FactWMO Prediction: Strong El Nino event expected between May and July 2026.
  • S&TClimate Change Impact: Amplifies the effects of El Nino events rather than increasing their frequency or intensity.

For Mains

Q. Discuss how anthropogenic climate change interacts with natural oscillations like El Nino to exacerbate global extreme weather events.

Dimensions to cover in your answer

  • Feedback loops: Amplification of heatwaves and droughts due to rising baseline global temperatures
  • Predictive modeling: Challenges in forecasting localized impacts of intensified ENSO cycles

Keywords: ENSO · Climate Resilience · Anthropogenic Forcing · Meteorological Prediction

Read the full news →Report a mistake in this noteSource: The Dawn ↗Also: GS3 · Climate change & international agreementsAlso: GS1 · Geophysical phenomena (earthquakes, cyclones, volcanoes)

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