Global temperatures likely to remain at record levels in 2026-2030: UN
GS3Economy · S&T · Environment · Security· Climate change & international agreements· Prelims + Mains·
Why in news
The World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) warned that global average temperatures are likely to remain at or near record levels from 2026-2030, with a high probability of surpassing the 1.5°C threshold.
Background
The WMO predicts a 75% chance that the five-year mean temperature (2026-2030) will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. The report attributes this trend to a predicted El Nino effect in late 2026 and highlights a significant increase in Arctic temperatures over the next five northern hemisphere winters.
Facts for Prelims
- Fact75% chance that the 2026-2030 five-year mean temperature will surpass the 1.5°C threshold
- Fact91% chance of exceeding 1.5°C at least once between 2026 and 2030
- FactPredicted temperature range for 2026-2030 is 1.3 to 1.9°C above pre-industrial levels
- S&TEl Nino effect predicted for late 2026 is a primary driver for record-breaking temperatures
- BodyWorld Meteorological Organisation (WMO) issued the warning
For Mains
Q. Discuss the implications of persistent global temperature records on achieving the Paris Agreement goals and the role of El Nino in exacerbating climate volatility.
Dimensions to cover in your answer
- Feedback loops: Accelerated Arctic warming leading to further reduction in planetary albedo
- Policy friction: Difficulty in meeting 1.5°C targets despite international decarbonization commitments
- Meteorological volatility: Increasing frequency of extreme weather events driven by El Nino-Southern Oscillation
Keywords: Climate Change · El Nino · Paris Agreement · Global Warming · Arctic Amplification
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This note is generated automatically from SatyaDheesh's news feed and mapped to the UPSC CSE syllabus. Check facts against the original report or PIB before using them in an answer.