El Niño 80% likely, will trigger extreme temperature and rainfall: UN agency
GS3Economy · S&T · Environment · Security· Climate change & international agreements· Prelims·
Why in news
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) issued a warning that an 80% likely El Niño development during June-August will trigger extreme global temperature and rainfall patterns.
Background
The WMO stated that the ENSO phase is currently neutral but showing signs of approaching El Niño conditions. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres characterized El Niño as a 'climate warning' for a warming world.
Facts for Prelims
- FactThe WMO reported an 80% certainty of El Niño development during the June-August period.
- S&TThe Relative Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) is used to determine the phase of ENSO.
- BodyThe World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is the UN agency responsible for monitoring global weather patterns.
For Mains
Q. Discuss how the increasing frequency and intensity of El Niño events pose a threat to global climate stability and food security.
Dimensions to cover in your answer
- Hydrological volatility: Erratic monsoon patterns and extreme rainfall leading to localized flooding and droughts
- Agricultural vulnerability: Heat stress and moisture stress affecting crop yields in El Niño-sensitive regions
Keywords: ENSO · Climate Resilience · Meteorological Monitoring · Extreme Weather Events
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